St Leger Pageant | A Hurricane is brewing – The Prime Three

King George VI Stakes

Yesterday’s day two on the St Leger Pageant didn’t go the way in which I had mapped out in my head.

Wonderwall’s disappointing effort at Chester when despatched off the well-backed favorite eclipsed my emotions all through the day of a lot hope and but no success.

At present looks as if a troublesome day at Doncaster, but three horses stand out to me in a few of the massive contests of the day.

Let’s pray for some Saturday luck to fall my approach.


2:25 Doncaster – Hurricane Ivor @ 20/1 with BetVictor – 1pt EW

Embed from Getty Photos

There’s one thing courageous about placing up a horse in a 22-runner dash handicap that I can’t fairly describe and after hours of trying and relooking at this race, I thought of leaving this contest and shifting on.

Nevertheless, seeing Hurricane Ivor at 20/1 tempted me, particularly with the season that he has had for his new yard in Eire.

The Jessica Harrington-trained six-year-old was an everyday runner within the UK between the beginning of 2021 and the top of 2022 for William Haggas, touchdown a memorable success within the 2021 renewal of the Portland Handicap off an official ranking of 102, 10 kilos larger than his present mark.

Massive efficiency beneath high weight! Hurricane Ivor thunders house to land the Portland Handicap for @TomMarquand and William Haggas at @DoncasterRaces

— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) September 11, 2021

After that run, the Ivawood gelding gained the Group 3 World Trophy Stakes in what turned out to be his final hurrah for Somerville Lodge.

His poor type in 2022 noticed connections swap the skilled sprinter to Harrington’s base forward of the 2023 season, one thing that sparked enchancment when fifth within the Listed Woodlands Stakes on soft-to-heavy in April behind Moss Tucker, a Group 1 Flying 5 Stakes winner since.

Massive shock within the Anglesey Lodge Equine Hospital Woodlands Stakes!

2/5F Tenebrism has no reply to 9/2 likelihood Moss Tucker, who proves too sturdy within the Listed dash for Billy Lee and @kencondonracing at @NaasRacecourse 🏇

— Racing TV (@RacingTV) April 24, 2023

One other promising run within the Habitat Handicap on the Curragh and 4 barely below-par runs since have resulted within the handicapper dropping him 11 kilos since June, a staggering fall by way of the weights.

Admittedly, some could say that the previous 110-rated animal is regressing, however excuses will be made for all 4 of his current defeats, notably because of floor, the flawed journey, and a change in techniques that didn’t work.

The Harrington steady tends to not waste too many darts when sending one over the water to the UK and with Hurricane Ivor, they’ve a confirmed horse in these situations.


3:35 Doncaster – Arrest @ 9/2 with William Hill – 1pt Win

Embed from Getty Photos

This 12 months’s St Leger has turned me inside out making an attempt to work out which one to aspect with, and after a lot deliberation, Arrest is the one who comes out high of my checklist to land the ultimate Basic of the 12 months.

Instantly following his Group 3 Geoffrey Freer victory at Newbury, his claims for Doncaster’s function occasion of the 12 months have been barely murky based mostly on the type of the race.

Good begin to the @BestOfBetsUK column as ARREST obliges at 6/4 within the Geoffrey Freer.

Three extra horses to run, all a lot larger EW costs 😃

Test it out under ⬇️ #HorseRacing #ITVRacing

— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) August 19, 2023

On the time, beating Ching Shih by simply over a size whereas in receipt of three kilos from the runner-up didn’t look wonderful and after David Simcock’s four-year-old completed a well-beaten fourth earlier this week within the Group 2 Park Hill Stakes, additional questions on that race began to develop.

Nevertheless, a re-examination exhibits that Oisin Murphy positioned Ching Shih in plumb final and benefitted from a small tempo collapse whereas the horses that raced prominently together with Arrest from the entrance – Jack Darcy, Klondike, and Kemari – completed within the closing three.

Moreover, Jack Darcy has since comfortably gained the Group 2 Grand Prix de Deauville whereas using related techniques and Shandoz, who was seven lengths behind Arrest within the Geoffrey Freer, ran to an RPR of 110 on his subsequent begin when fifth behind Bay Bridge within the Group 3 September Stakes.


JACK DARCY, winner of the G2 Grand Prix de Deauville on Sunday, will head to the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups ✈️

— World Horse Racing (@WHR) August 27, 2023

Allow us to not overlook that he put six lengths between him and Adelaide River, an Irish Derby and Grand Prix de Paris runner-up, within the Group 3 Chester Vase whereas additionally taking a wider route across the tight observe.

At present, John & Thady Gosden’s Frankel colt will race along with his most well-liked softer floor beneath his hooves and with Frankie Dettori within the saddle, Arrest appears like a tailormade Leger horse.


5:20 Doncaster – Liberty Lane @ 13/2 Common – 2pt Win

Embed from Getty Photos

The finale of the St Leger Pageant, like the remainder of the day, is a aggressive contest on paper and regardless of the attractive profiles of Sonny Liston, Brunch, and Blue for You, my vote falls onto the top of Liberty Lane, one among 4 three-year-olds within the race.

Though this looks as if a very long time in the past, the three-year-old by Teofilo was a well-backed favorite for one of many concluding handicaps on Stewards’ Cup day at Wonderful Goodwood earlier than racing was known as off.

The persistent rain that day scuppered Karl Burke’s plan for an enormous handicap prize, nonetheless, with some juice within the floor this week, connections have set their sights on in the present day’s £50,000 contest.

Though the unexposed colt has but to seek out the winners’ enclosure since his debut on smooth at Nottingham, he was unfortunate to run into Waipiro on his subsequent begin earlier than an admiral run on barely unsuitable floor within the Group 2 Dante Stakes.

🏇🚨 Good prospect – Liberty Lane (by Teofilo) exhibits baggage of skill to expire a convincing winner on debut at @NottsRacecourse, beneath @CliffordleexLee!

👏 He appears an thrilling one for @karl_burke!

— Sporting Life Racing (@SportingLife) October 5, 2022

Though he was disappointing on good-to-firm floor at Royal Ascot, his efficiency at Newmarket over a mile on rain-softened floor was extra like the true Liberty Lane.

Along with his excessive knee motion, in the present day’s cheesy floor ought to go well with properly and off a mark of 97 – alongside a four-pound weight-for-age allowance – Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum’s homebred colt is a severe participant within the closing race of the assembly.

Author: Patrick Thomas