Saffie elevating the Bar – The High Three

King George VI Stakes

Final week, The High Three landed one win from one wager due to Monsieur Kodi within the Goodwood opener, two hours earlier than racing was deserted on the monitor.

Once we all agree…

MONSIEUR KODI kicks off the day with a 5/1 win (with a rule 4 to return) for @BestOfBetsUK 😃

Appears to be like robust work on the market – jockeys coming away saying it’s driving on the tender/heavy aspect.#QGF

— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) August 5, 2023

That victory was a welcome piece of revenue for the P&L which remains to be within the pink at -6.365pts.

There are three bets to think about this week from the Curragh, the Shergar Cup, and Haydock all inside 25 minutes, so let’s dive in.


3:00 Haydock – Midnight Mile @ 5/1 with William Hill – 2pts win

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Over the previous couple of weeks, loads of my Ante-Put up Evaluation fancies have made it onto the group sheet for The High Three for a lot of causes.

Both they’re a really robust fancy and I’m nonetheless completely satisfied to again them at what could possibly be a shorter value, or within the case of Midnight Mile, a great value remains to be out there in comparison with what it was on Wednesday.

At only a level and a half shorter at present than earlier this week, the 5/1 out there with William Hill remains to be a particularly reasonable value for Richard Fahey’s three-year-old filly.


Wednesday’s piece lined a deep dive into her kind e book and why she stands out from that perspective, so right here is how the tempo of the race appears to be like now that now we have a confirmed area.

🏇 Midnight Mile goes on to land a convincing victory within the British EBF fortieth Anniversary Lyric Fillies’ Stakes at 8-1 for Oisin Orr and Richard Fahey 👏👏@RichardFahey

— York Racecourse (@yorkracecourse) July 28, 2023

From the seven within the area, 4 can feasibly lead from the entrance – Traditional Causeway, King Of Conquest, El Drama, and Phantom Flight – with James Horton’s four-year-old the almost certainly one to be heading the pack.

Subsequently, we may see a good bit of early tempo, particularly if the outsider Traditional Causeway challenges Phantom Flight from the entrance.

This could play into the palms of the favorite Al Aasy, who sauntered by way of the sphere final day trip, and Midnight Mile who has been at her greatest when pouncing from her midfield place.

With simply the 2 locations on provide, it’s tough to play each-way with the way in which the race may form up, so I’m with the win-only possibility for Midnight Mile within the Group 3 Rose Of Lancaster Stakes.


3:20 Ascot – Escobar @ 13/2 with William Hill – 1pt each-way

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20 minutes later, over at Ascot, the Shergar Cup Mile will happen and Escobar is the one who stands out on the costs below Saffie Osborne.

Formally rated 102, the David O’Meara-trained nine-year-old comes into at present on his lowest mark for 4 years having did not win in six makes an attempt this season.

Moreover, the skilled racer gained on the monitor final season over seven furlongs off a five-pound increased mark in addition to inserting within the Clipper Logistics Handicap off 105.

20/1 upset within the Problem Cup!

Escobar will get a superb trip from @Atzenijockey to win the dear @Ascot characteristic for @omeararacing…

— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) October 1, 2022

The final three runs have been poor in handicap firm, however earlier than that, he ran three strong races in level-weights contests at Thirsk, Haydock, and Epsom.

At his age, and with the variety of runs he has had, there’s a small risk that he could possibly be regressing, however with a number of the kind he has during the last 12 months, I can’t let him go off at 13/2 unbacked.


3:25 Curragh – Go Athletico @ 10/3 with BetVictor – 2pt Win

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Lastly, over the water on the Curragh, the Group 3 Phoenix Dash Stakes is an efficient warm-up act forward of at present’s Group 1 Phoenix Stakes afterward the cardboard.

Though Commanche Falls instructions respect on the high of the market, it’s the second-favourite, Go Athletico, that may carry my cash for Adrian McGuinness and Ronan Whelan.

All season, I’ve been seeking to tackle Michael Dodds’ six-year-old and granted, this has been with out success, however at present could possibly be one of the best likelihood to catch him out.

A detailed end! 🏁

Commanche Falls nearly comes out on high within the bet365 Hackwood Stakes!#ITVRacing | @NewburyRacing | @mdodsracing | @connorbeasley9

— ITV Racing (@itvracing) July 22, 2023

Connections purchased Go Athletico for €165,000 in April from France on the again of his Listed success on tender floor at Deauville over an prolonged 5 furlongs.

Because the buy, the five-year-old by French sire Goken landed the Listed Midsummer Dash Stakes at Cork earlier than a great run in second behind Artwork Energy within the Group 2 Sapphire Stakes 21 days in the past.

An on the spot hit!🥇

Go Athletico makes fast inroads into his €165,000 buy value by working out an emphatic winner of the Listed Midsummer Dash Stakes @corkracecourse on his Irish debut!@adomcguinness1 | @WhelanRonan

— Racing TV (@RacingTV) June 16, 2023

With Commanche Falls set to provide three kilos away to the progressing five-year-old, at present’s step-up in journey ought to go well with, and at 10/3, I’m completely satisfied to seek out out if he’s ok to down the in-form favorite, particularly if any rain falls on the course.

Author: Patrick Thomas