Lingfield Winter Hundreds of thousands | Chewy to prevail in Masterful vogue

Tingle Creek

The final seven days have seen nationwide hunt racing fall sufferer to the weather, although the ultimate day of the Lingfield Winter Hundreds of thousands assembly ought to present a great deal of leisure.

Protektorat, L’Homme Presse, and JPR One are horses to be enthusiastic about in Britain whereas a conflict between Allaho and Admire It might water the mouth of any jumps fan.

So, let’s get caught into the motion.

 

Win Bets

1:15 Lingfield – Grasp Chewy @ 7/2 with William Hill – 1pt Win

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Any loyal followers of the Solely Fools Love Horses YouTube channel (love you all) may need seen me converse concerning the Grade 2 Lightening Novices’ Chase at Lingfield and counsel Matata was a “truthful sufficient value” at 8/1.

🆕 𝐈𝐓’𝐒 𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄… Cheltenham Pageant Ante-post EP1

The lads are joined by @JohnnyDineen to preview three Cheltenham races and share FOUR ante-post picks.

– Overpriced 14/1 Supreme contender 🔥
– Taking over Allaho within the Ryanair 🤯
– Ultima fancy at 10/1 🇬🇧

Watch 👇

— Solely Fools Love Horses Racing (@OFLHracing) January 17, 2024

On the time, this was a really appropriate assertion, and he’s one I believe can go properly, however on the present costs, my finalised first-choice fancy would go to Grasp Chewy for the Twiston-Davies workforce of Sam and Nigel.

My motive for leaping ship is I took a deeper dive into Grasp Chewy’s success within the Grade 2 Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase at Kempton.

🏆 Too good

Grasp Chewy stretches clear in positive type to land the G2 Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase@tommy_bells | @NigelTwistonDav | @kemptonparkrace pic.twitter.com/1Fvq5ud0HZ

— Racing TV (@RacingTV) December 27, 2023

His total time was faster than the Grade 2 Desert Orchid Chase, gained by the 159-rated Editeur Du Gite, and though he carried 5 fewer kilos (which I’ve considered), his ending effort was notably faster as properly.

His runs this season have proven he can sit handily behind a front-running chief and pounce with pace within the closing few furlongs, so with tempo to intention at due to stablemate Matata, Nigel Twiston-Davies appears to have hand.

 

1:50 Lingfield – Saint Segal @ 9/4 with William Hill – 1pt Win

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As a lot as we like to tune our minds into considering the place sure horses are heading for particular Cheltenham Pageant handicaps, generally it’s simpler to disregard that and stick with specializing in at some point at a time.

With this mentality onboard, Saint Segal is a horse I’m a giant fan of and I believe he can win a aggressive renewal of the Godstone Handicap Chase.

I imagine that the six-year-old would go properly within the Grand Annual at Cheltenham off his present mark of 139, however right this moment’s contest shall be weaker than any Cheltenham handicap and right this moment’s winner receives a wholesome cheque for £26,405.

Boothill does it once more! @HarryFryRacing1’s star defends his @Ascot crown beneath @JohnnyBurke2…

Nice to see Saint Segal and David Noonan each up after their fall! pic.twitter.com/0rdtAxZlNd

— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) November 25, 2023

Due to this fact, why wouldn’t connections wish to go for a race like this, particularly with a horse who was within the means of beating Boothill at Ascot final outing earlier than falling on the closing flight?

Sadly, the handicapper has given him three kilos for that effort however there’s nonetheless wiggle room off his present official ranking and coach Jane Williams is working at a 30% strike charge from her final 10 runners.

 

2:25 Lingfield – Nurse Susan @ 7/2 with William Hill – 1pt Win

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With Cheltenham in thoughts, it’s fascinating that Dan Skelton has given Nurse Susan an entry for each the Grade 1 Mares’ Hurdle and Grade 1 Stayers’ Hurdle at this yr’s Pageant.

The seven-year-old has good kind with Love Envoi since early 2022 and managed to get herself again into the winners’ enclosure at Prestbury Park in December due to a gritty efficiency in a handicap.

A win for the Skeltons

Nurse Susan Wins the Mares’ Handicap Hurdle 🥇#ITVRacing | @CheltenhamRaces pic.twitter.com/TgKNJ06Q8V

— ITV Racing (@itvracing) December 16, 2023

Up simply 4 kilos for the success to 129, she might feasibly nonetheless be well-handicapped off that mark and she or he’s tackling 2m7f for the very first time, one thing which might see her enhance additional.

Skelton and the workforce have all the time rated her as a good animal, so along with her ranking nonetheless at a workable stage, hopefully she will proceed her progress at Lingfield right this moment.

 

Every-way Guess

3:35 Lingfield – Notachance @ 20/1 with William Hill – 0.5pt EW

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As for the each-way wager right this moment, I’m taking an opportunity on Notachance off what’s a really affordable mark.

The ten-year-old hasn’t lived as much as his skill since his third in final yr’s Warwick Basic Chase, although as such he has dropped 10lbs since to 122.

383 days off and he does it!!!

Iwilldoit claims the Wigley Group Basic Handicap Chase beneath @StanSheppard9 . 🏆#ITVRacing |@WarwickRaces|@SammyTRacing pic.twitter.com/faMdnBug1j

— ITV Racing (@itvracing) January 14, 2023

He’s a confirmed stayer for Alan King and a few of his good performances have acquired a pleasant kind increase, notably that Basic Chase third as Mr Unimaginable subsequently completed third within the King Muir and the fourth, Guetapan Collonges, has improved 9 kilos since.

A spark of revival is required, however his previous couple of heavy defeats haven’t carried out him justice and he’s a tasty-enough value right this moment as a way to take an opportunity.

Author: Patrick Thomas