The previous couple of weeks for The Prime Three column have been irritating.
Losses for Tower Of London and Rosscarbery have been robust tablets to swallow and final week’s NAP, Lezoo, was a non-runner on account of the bottom.
LEZOO a non-runner. A non-losing NAP is a good sight.
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) July 22, 2023
This weekend, when you learn Wednesday’s Ante-post Evaluation column, you would be sitting on one good slip forward of Saturday’s Valiant Stakes (she can be one of many bets included beneath) and when you backed Simca Mille for the King George earlier than he was taken out of the race by connections, then I do really feel for you.
Personally, when trying by Simca Mille’s kind and pedigree, I had him down as a floor versatile horse who had carried out a career-best effort on Good to Gentle.
Can be an odd take from connections this, given he has G1 delicate floor kind, and it will most likely be good to delicate by Saturday,
— Tony Calvin (@tony_calvin) July 27, 2023
In fact, connections know the horse finest and he gained on Good floor final trip, however his scratching from Ascot’s function race got here as a shock.
Anyway, with one dart fired incorrectly, let’s plough on into this week’s The Prime Three.
2:25 Ascot – Random Harvest @ 10/3 with William Hill – 2pt Win
Embed from Getty Photographs
Beginning with the aforementioned Group 3 Valiant Stakes, Random Harvest seems like a standout wager at 10/3 with William Hill.
At an ante-post stage on Wednesday, Ed Walker’s five-year-old was 8/1 in a area the place Affluent Voyage was nonetheless in; now greater than half the value, I’m nonetheless eager to maintain her on the aspect.
📝 King George VI Stakes – Ante-post Evaluation through @BestOfBetsUK
With beeping pleasure on my face, I’ve put ahead three bets to contemplate.
33/1 King George play plus 8/1 and seven/1 fancies.
Have a look and good luck 😃https://t.co/2gYNMCtIfE
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) July 26, 2023
Firstly, Roger Varian’s Ameynah is the cash horse of the race (10/3 from 9/2), nonetheless, having her first run for 454 days on an unproven going description would put me off, particularly because of the truth her dam, Tazffin, gained on Good twice and positioned in a Listed occasion on Good to Agency.
In equity, Random Harvest isn’t the largest mudlark on the earth as her finest run thus far got here within the Group 2 Duke Of Cambridge on Good and he or she was a promising second within the Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes on Good to Agency earlier than that.
Frankie Dettori’s LAST EVER journey at Epsom is a winner 🎉
He wins the Princess Elizabeth Stakes on PROSPEROUS VOYAGE 💯#DerbyFestival pic.twitter.com/3KUHz9MDnD
— Epsom Downs Racecourse (@EpsomRacecourse) June 3, 2023
Nonetheless, her final victory got here on Gentle over in Italy, so she may simply be a floor versatile kind, and hopefully, if she will be able to take care of the circumstances, she’s going to come out on high.
3:00 Ascot – Baradar @ 13/2 with William Hill – 1pt EW
Embed from Getty Photographs
One other horse talked about in Wednesday’s Ante-post Evaluation was Baradar within the Worldwide Stakes at 3:00pm.
The George Boughey-trained five-year-old loves Gentle floor, as proven by his third within the Lincoln when attending to the entrance too quickly, in addition to his victory on Heavy when beating the race’s favorite, Biggles, in November.
Moreover, a have a look at her pedigree exhibits that his dam, Go Beautiful Rose, was third on Heavy and second on Gentle, so this half-brother to Roseman, the runner-up within the 2020 Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, ought to love each little bit of give in Ascot’s going.
Additionally, on his second-last run at Ascot within the Victoria Cup, the Muhaarar gelding dwelt out of the stalls, shifted throughout the monitor to the nearside rail, and made up loads of floor when crushed by 5 lengths; Perotto, who gained two begins later, completed one place behind and Spycatcher, a Group 3 winner in France after, accomplished the race in fourth.
A winner on the Craven assembly and now a Victoria Cup winner!
Insurgent Territory wins the Peroni Nastro Azzurro Victoria Cup!#ITVRacing | @Ascot | @JimCrowley1978 | @Coombelands pic.twitter.com/4xYHIXtuK3
— ITV Racing (@itvracing) Could 13, 2023
Off a lenient mark of 96, if every thing falls into place, Kevin Stott may very well be on for an Amo Racing double relying on King Of Metal’s efficiency within the King George.
3:15 Ascot – My Prospero @ 6/5 with BoyleSports – 5pt Win
Embed from Getty Photographs
Lastly, as proven by my five-point outlay, my NAP of July is over at York with My Prospero within the Group 2 York Stakes.
Final 12 months, a William Haggas and Tom Marquand horse compelled me to tears as Dubai Honour misplaced at odds-on to Mostahdaf – kind that reads properly in hindsight – so this time round, hopefully, there isn’t a repeat.
I am off to cry myself to sleep, see you all in October 👋 https://t.co/sXPTqzVEOc
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) July 23, 2022
The Iffraaj colt was comfortably Haggas’ second-best horse within the yard final 12 months behind the unimaginable Baaeed, nonetheless, he has but to get off the mark this season in two makes an attempt.
That wouldn’t fear me an excessive amount of because the races he has misplaced in included a Lockinge Stakes over the incorrect distance and a sizzling renewal of the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes the place he drifted earlier than the off and stayed on on the end.
Extraordinarily robust! My Prospero and @TomMarquand are Group 2 winners from the entrance at Saint-Cloud for William Haggas… pic.twitter.com/H13C7JYnk3
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) July 16, 2022
In a quieter Group 2 race, the four-year-old must significantly disappoint so as to not win and, like I stated on the Solely Fools Love Horses preview on Wednesday, this may very well be a ‘penalty kick’.
🚨 KING GEORGE STAKES PREVIEW🏇
The OFLH lads check out a superb weekend within the Flat calendar because the Group 1 King George Stakes takes centre stage.
– Massive costs galore from Lee ‼️
– 25/1 King George fancy ✅
– Ash’s “penalty kick” NAP🤩
Take pleasure in: https://t.co/o9D8Byl416 pic.twitter.com/RpThu8HvRG
— Solely Fools Love Horses Racing (@OFLHracing) July 26, 2023
I’ve jinxed it, haven’t I?