Forward of the Ayr Gold Cup this weekend, The High Three might be on for a possible four-in-a-row if all three alternatives win later right this moment.
That is because of Liberty Lane’s victory at Doncaster final week as my remaining choice of the St Leger Competition, a race that actually raised my coronary heart charge greater than I had beforehand anticipated.
The baron run involves an finish! 😅
LIBERTY LANE (6/1) will get up on the road to provide @BestOfBetsUK readers revenue for the day.
Nice trip from @CliffordleexLee and a troublesome horse to go once more on the line. #HorseRacing
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) September 16, 2023
Securing a 100%-win charge from 4 alternatives isn’t simple, however I believed I’d begin this week’s piece with somewhat little bit of humorous hope.
Away from my beckoning profession as a slapstick comedian, three horses seem like attention-grabbing candidates at each Ayr and Newbury right this moment together with a 14/1-shot within the opening Scottish contest.
1:15 Ayr – Stormbuster @ 14/1 Normal – 1pt EW
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There’s one thing about three-year-olds in open grade handicaps that all the time catches my eye and the identical goes for Stormbuster at 14/1 within the opening one-mile contest at Ayr.
The well-bred Dubawi colt is out of Barshiba, a Group 2 Lancashire Oaks winner in 2010, making him a full-brother to the 2015 Group 1 Juddmonte Worldwide Stakes victor Arabian Queen.
To this point, the Andrew Balding-trained colt hasn’t proven that genetic skill too effectively on the monitor, nonetheless, he bolted up by 5 lengths on his fourth begin as a two-year-old and completed third to Isaac Shelby on debut; he was even despatched off 7/1 for the Group 1 Vertem Futurity and ran effectively for a very long time regardless of being on the incorrect facet of the monitor in attritional situations.
Stormbuster lastly breaks his maiden with a runaway success underneath @davidprobert9 within the @hhandc Situations Stakes @NewburyRacing @AndrewBalding2’s constant colt (Dubawi) holds entries within the Royal Lodge @NewmarketRace and the Vertem Futurity Trophy @DoncasterRaces 🤔 pic.twitter.com/zawOehL5Fn
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) September 16, 2022
This yr, simply six rivals have completed behind him in 4 races, nonetheless, there are excuses for these performances.
Firstly, his first two runs occurred over 10 furlongs, a distance he has but to actually see out, and within the Listed Dee Stakes at Chester in Might, he travelled effectively earlier than colliding with two horses and shortly stopped rapidly.
2.080 m – 100.000 GBP – for 3yo colts and geldings
San Antonio (IRE)
(3C Dubawi -Rain Goddess ,by Galileo)
J : Ryan Moore
O: M Tabor & D Smith & Mrs J Magnier & Westerberg
B: @coolmorestud pic.twitter.com/UbGjVGmQxq
— 𝙒𝙤𝙧𝙡𝙙𝙍𝙖𝙘𝙞𝙣𝙜 (@WorldRacing1) Might 11, 2023
Two poor performances in faster situations are comprehensible as he has a desire in the direction of softer floor, one thing connections agree with as he was a non-runner at Salisbury earlier this month for the unsuitable official going of excellent to agency.
Again on a slower floor and off a lowly mark of 89, along with his four-pound three-year-old allowance, right this moment might be the day to catch him in a winnable handicap.
1:30 Newbury – Nymphadora @ 10/3 with William Hill – 1pt Win
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The well-known colors of St Albans Bloodstock Restricted make up two of the 5 runners within the Group 3 World Trophy Stakes at Newbury, but it’s the longer-priced runner of the duo, Nymphadora, that I’m siding with.
Firstly, tender floor and 5 furlongs are what she thrives off, as proven by her two victories this season at Chester and York; she even tried to Dwell In The Dream, a future Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes winner, 4 kilos in weight at Chester final yr when second on good-to-soft floor.
Nymphadora wins the CAA Stellar Handicap 🥇
A one-two for @AndrewBalding2 with King’s Lynn is second✌️#ITVRacing | @ChesterRaces | @oismurphy pic.twitter.com/EHUYBjQoem
— ITV Racing (@itvracing) Might 11, 2023
This liking in the direction of tender floor is an unknown for her owner-mate, Sense Of Responsibility, who heads the market regardless of drifting out to 2/1 from 5/4 all through the week.
Resulting from a setback, the final time Sense Of Responsibility appeared on monitor was at Newcastle over six furlongs when a powerful winner of the Group 3 Chipchase Stakes; connections have their eyes on the Group 1 Champions Dash Stakes in October, so this race seems to be like a pleasant preparation to get her 100% for that concentrate on.
“Very proficient… we’re determined to get her again” 💪
Maureen Haggas says @NewburyRacing shall be a stepping stone to QIPCO British Champions Day for Sense Of Responsibility, who has not been seen since successful the Chipchase again in June 2022… @MCYeeehaaa pic.twitter.com/UQI7hYlNEE
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) September 21, 2023
Sense Of Responsibility has but to race over 5 furlongs or tender floor, and together with her dam, Margaret’s Mission, a one-mile winner on good-to-firm, it could take a braver man than myself to be backing her right this moment.
With that in thoughts, each Raasel and Nymphadora are the horses that can benefit from the floor, with desire falling to the youthful filly who needs to be brisker and receives three kilos from Michael Appleby’s six-year-old gelding.
3:00 Ayr – Navassa Island @ 4/1 with William Hill – 3pt Win
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Readers of the Ante-post Evaluation column or watchers of the Solely Fools Love Horses Podcast might be sat on a pleasant ante-post docket for Navassa Island within the Group 3 Firth Of Clyde Stakes at 3:00 right this moment.
After all, you possibly can’t eat worth, however the Michael O’Callaghan-trained two-year-old has greater than halved in value to 4/1 for the £40,000 contest.
✅ Each Ante-Put up Evaluation horses have been declared for Ayr on Saturday.
Some corporations have gone 5/1 on the Firth Of Clyde fancy – nonetheless 9/1 out there.
The Ayr Gold Cup guess has an excellent draw and has a really enticing profile.
Have a look beneath 👇
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) September 21, 2023
For full reasoning behind her possibilities, click on right here for the hyperlink to Wednesday’s piece, however now we all know the total subject, let’s see what the tempo of the race might be like.
The seemingly tempo angles look to be offered by way of Exponista (stall 5), Dorothy Lawrence (stall six) and Imperiality (stall seven) whereas the likes of Bellarchi (stall three) and Raqiya (stall two) have made all with success previously.
That’s loads of tempo in a nine-runner juvenile subject, one thing that ought to profit Navassa Island as her second to Porta Fortuna on debut got here from an off-the-pace trip.
The Coolmore Stud Irish EBF Fillies Dash Stakes artwork @NaasRacecourse is received effectively by Porta Fortuna. pic.twitter.com/YuR2XojNSK
— Horse Racing Eire (@HRIRacing) Might 21, 2023
Hopefully, I’ve executed my calculations appropriately as a result of if I’ve, Navassa Island seems to be like an thrilling prospect within the Group 3 Firth Of Clyde.