NOTE: Pictures and tables show higher within the PDF model.
1 BetaminicSys outcomes +40.17 factors (-20 on 1 level stakes) -338 GBP on my bot set
The BetaminicSys account on TippingSports set of 9 methods had a dropping month with -40.17 factors going from 372.95 on July 18th to 332.78 right now on August twenty second. In August to date it has had a 31.15% win price with 19 of 61 bets profitable and has an ROI of -19.45%.
For my Bf Bot Supervisor automated bot set, it’s now right down to 186 GBP, which is a -338 GBP drop since final month’s July 18th e-newsletter.
As I mentioned beforehand, I’ve been experimenting loads with my very own BfBM bot units not too long ago and I’m feeling extra assured with the thought of accelerating stakes when win charges are beneath the technique common and returning them to a standard degree when the win charges are above the technique common.
Once I paste these win charges subsequent to my bots, I see that every one of them are beneath the long run win price.
I feel it will be significant with these massive information betting methods to recollect we’re following a development. The development doesn’t predict winners, it simply discover worth patterns in order that if the development continues it’ll make revenue. So when the win price is beneath the ten 12 months common, then it exhibits there’s a damaging variance for the time being the place it dips underneath the long run win price common, and it may be anticipated that wins will come to return to that development degree. I feel there’s typically a hazard of giving up when a technique appears to be dropping, however is in actual fact simply going although a low win price. If we then begin following the present high methods on the charts, then it’s probably we could comply with a technique that has simply had constructive variance to propel it to the highest of the rankings, so when a technique is picked, we have to keep watch over the win price we’re experiencing and the long run win price. For instance, Contend UD makes 14.59% yields on a 39% win price from 3,616 bets, so the present 28% win price from simply 47 bets is an easy quick time period dip of outcomes. That is a part of the logic that makes me wish to improve stakes when the quick time period win price is considerably beneath the long run common.
Base on this I’m going to extend stakes on all of them to 40 GBP and to additional improve stakes to 60 GBP for A03 (WR-11%), A04(WR-8%), A06(-11%), A07(-8%), A08(-7%), A09(-7%) which all have win charges beneath the long run price by -7% to-11%. Methods with -1% to five% underneath the typical win charges I’ll preserve at 40 GBP. Once they get again to their development I’ll put them again to twenty GBP. It’s my expectation that the longer I comply with these methods, the extra probably it’s that they may return to win charges nearer to the long run common.
2 System Month-to-month Outcomes July 2022 – July 2023
-328 GBP change on my financial institution over the past month, leaving a 28 GBP total revenue together with prices since June 2023. Not nice, however I can see why the outcomes are this manner based mostly on the quick time period win charges.
An concept that comes up as I write this article is “What if I comply with methods which are in revenue within the Since Shared interval, however their win price is beneath their All Outcomes 10-year win price %.” Since I count on these to be due a rebalancing constructive run to return to development. However in idea if the win price is beneath the typical, it’s prone to not be in revenue. Or probably have an ROI that seems low within the Snice Shared interval. I normally keep away from methods which have ROI underneath 5%, however possibly this can be a mistake. A eureka second? Because of this I write these newsletters. It makes me rethink and analyse my technique every month.
Tom Whitaker following personal Unique Bot System triggered by Betaminic methods: Month-to-month Outcomes July 2022-Could 2023
Tom Whitaker following BetaminicSys TippingSports account methods on Degree Stakes: Month-to-month outcomes Could seventeenth 2023 ~August twenty second 2023
2.1 Betaminic Public Methods Snapshot – 686 public methods information captured and put into an excel file
Primarily based on that earlier considered win charges, I made snapshot of all present public methods and put them into an excel file for simple filtering and manipulation.
686 public methods
240 of these methods are in revenue of their Since Shared interval
199 of these methods have 200 or extra bets of their Since Shared interval.
Sadly, the win price isn’t displayed on the primary web page, however solely discovered by clicking individually on every technique for Since Shared and All Outcomes.
So I’ve to manually undergo every technique so as to add that information.
I’ll begin from the methods with probably the most Since Shared bets and work my means down the listing till I get about 5 methods which are in revenue however their Since Shared win price is beneath the All Interval win price, if that even exists. I may also observe methods which have win charges which are near their long run development win price, which might recommend they aren’t due a damaging correction.
(2 hours later)
4 of the 199 methods have Since Shared win charges increased than their All Outcomes win price.
16 of the 199 methods have the identical Since Shared win charges as their All Outcomes win price.
179 of the 199 methods have Since Shared win charges decrease than their All Outcomes win price. This was fairly shocking as I assumed there wouldn’t be so many.
How can I take advantage of this win price distinction to enhance my technique choice?
I’d say that if the Since Shared win price is similar or solely barely decrease than the All Outcomes win price BUT its yield is considerably decrease, then that technique shouldn’t be used. The reasoning is that regardless that the win price has remained almost fixed, the ROI has considerably dropped. This may increasingly imply the technique outcomes have been a results of information mining and had not discovered areal development.If a technique’s Since Shared win price is way decrease than its All Outcomes win price however it’s nonetheless making ROI then the technique needs to be adopted. The reasoning is that the technique has discovered a development that finds worth choices and might face up to a damaging variance from a decrease win price and nonetheless make a revenue.If a technique’s Since Shared and All Outcomes win price is analogous and the ROI is analogous, then the technique may be adopted because it signifies a constant development.If the Since Shared win price is the upper than the All Outcomes win price and its yield is considerably decrease, then that technique ought to positively not be used. The reasoning is that the earnings have come from constructive variance of a extra wins than ordinary. This may increasingly imply the technique outcomes have been a results of information mining and had not discovered areal development.
The above picture is only some of the 199 methods.
You’ll be able to see within the full listing within the excel file of the snapshot that fairly a couple of of the highest performing methods have the options of “2” above the place its Since Shared win price is decrease, however it nonetheless produces an honest ROI. I used to be stunned to see that none of those methods have been the outcomes of constructive variance from the next win price than the All Outcomes win price. I had hypothesized that was why they have been excessive within the rankings, however possibly the Betaminic scores have already taken this under consideration.
From this I’m going to create my very own set of methods “Win Fee 7” that I feel are due some higher outcomes from their poor win price in comparison with their long run development, regardless that they’re nonetheless making revenue at that decrease win price.
Golden 6.6 Attracts are in late (by Maxi) Ver2 for All 111 leagues (Up to date 2021-11-17) Draw
Again the Underdog Rebooted House Win
greatest over groups Over 2.5 Objectives
draw 15 Draw
homw win good Underdog
HomeWin/2.00-2.49 House Win
The rocket technique (Up to date 2021-11-07) House Win
I’ll begin with 20 GBP on every decide with degree stakes.
For the attracts, I’m additionally going to hyperlink them as much as an add-on draw bot set that has been doing effectively for my very own non-public draw wager system.
For the Betaminic draw picks I’ll wager:
20 GBP on the present odds
10 GBP on the other odds
10 GBP in-play on the present odds if a objective is scored
10 GBP in-play on the other odds if a objective is scored
This may embrace the two BetaminicSys draw picks and the two new Win-Fee-7 draw picks.
I embrace this bot set for anybody serious about attempting it out, too. (At your individual danger after all!)
3 My Particular person Technique Outcomes Replace
4 System Adjustments – Some methods modified stakes
I’ve modifications the stakes on some methods based mostly on the quick time period win price versus the long run win price.
1 Winless House v Undefeated Away Final 3 All 111 of 111 leagues (Primarily based on House King by AugustinVidic) 40 GBP stakes
2 Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs 40 GBP stakes
3 Contend UD 40 GBP stakes change to 60 GBP stakes
4 House king 40 GBP stakes change to 60 GBP stakes
5 Away weak favorite 41 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields 20 GBP stakes change to 40 GBP stakes
6 e2 40 GBP stakes change to 60 GBP stakes
7 Funger Over 2,5 – 1 / Funger Overs BfBM 40 GBP stakes change to 60 GBP stakes
8 Emapte Equipos Igualados 20 GBP stakes change to 60 GBP stakes
9 Draw high 20 GBP stakes change to 60 GBP stakes
“Win Fee 7” new set added
Golden 6.6 Attracts are in late (by Maxi) Ver2 for All 111 leagues (Up to date 2021-11-17) Draw 20 GBP stakes
Again the Underdog Rebooted House Win 20 GBP stakes
greatest over groups Over 2.5 Objectives 20 GBP stakes
draw 15 Draw 20 GBP stakes
homw win good Underdog 20 GBP stakes
HomeWin/2.00-2.49 House Win 20 GBP stakes
The rocket technique (Up to date 2021-11-07) House Win 20 GBP stakes
Additional draw bets on draw picks:
10 GBP on the other odds
10 GBP in-play on the present odds if a objective is scored
10 GBP in-play on the other odds if a objective is scored
4.1 BSG Draw System – My non-public system and the way it has modified how I have a look at win charges
I typically attempt to create my programs with the Bf Bot Supervisor and go away check bots operating. I’ve not had a lot success with standalone “autobots” that run by themselves, however on this one case I left some bots operating that have been making revenue however with very excessive volatility and drawdowns (-84) and observed that irrespective of how unhealthy quick time period outcomes acquired, it might at all times come again as much as the long run technique win price of 33%. For the reason that technique has had a excessive quantity of bets, over 6,000 since November 2022, I used to be capable of see it time and again appear to die after which come again to life. And every time it was in a giant loss, it was attributable to its win price being underneath the long run win price. It may have damaging runs that took 300 bets to come back again to the 33% win price, however each time it did certainly comeback. And I may see this occur in actual time as a result of there have been so many picks. This made me assume that I had been giving up too early on Betaminic methods that had regarded good once I selected them, however have been on dropping runs that appears to final months, however really have been lower than 100 bets in these months. With my draw system, I may see a lot simpler that with massive information betting even 100 bets is possibly not even lengthy sufficient to provide a technique an opportunity to come back again to its development win charges and make revenue whether it is on a nasty run. From my present BetaminicSys methods the Away weak favorite technique has 58 bets, however none of them are even close to 100 bets. So if a technique is dropping, then I have to test its win charges in comparison with the long run development, and likewise to provide it an opportunity to have over 100 bets and get again close to to its long run win price. This alteration in my considering has come round from watching my very own technique come again from the useless each time. So, on the one hand I’m actually blissful to have a betting system of my very own that has labored over 6,000 bets, however then again it has a big potential drawdown of -84 and dropping runs that see it within the purple for 200-300 bets on unhealthy runs. So it wants a whole lot of endurance to let it work. And I wish to try to carry my new endurance additionally over to my Betaminic methods which are based mostly on 1,000s of bets value of information, too.
If you’re serious about my draw system, then it’s out there to comply with by way of TippingSports for 30 GBP per 30 days, however I like to recommend following it utilizing the Bf Bot Supervisor and the bot set that I provide for it.
Overview
The BSG Draw system is predicated on ideas generated by a base technique, after which 3 different additional bets may be positioned on these ideas. It was developed totally with the Bf Bot Supervisor automated betting software program and will get its set off information from Betfair markets.
It was in testing and growth for 8 months since November 2022. It was launched to the general public in July 2023.
https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/8801
The bottom technique has had over 6,000 actual bets positioned throughout that point, so I’m very assured with this method.
Wager 1: 10 GBP on the present draw odds
Wager 2: 10 GBP on the other odds
Wager 3: 10 GBP in-play on the present odds if a objective is scored
Wager 4: 10 GBP in-play on the other odds if a objective is scored
Wager 1 has 3% ROI after 6,099 bets since October twenty eighth 2022. Common 680 bets per 30 days. (av. 20 factors revenue p/m)
Wager 2 has 8.5% ROI after 1,878 bets since October twenty ninth 2022. Common 200 bets per 30 days. (av. 17 factors revenue p/m)
Wager 3 has 15% ROI after 366 bets since June 16th2023. Common 100 bets per 30 days. (av. 15 factors revenue p/m)
Wager 4 has 36% ROI after 176 bets since June sixteenth 2023. Common 50 bets per 30 days. (av. 18 factors revenue p/m)
On 10 GBP stakes, that’s aiming for 700 GBP per 30 days.
BUT on a nasty run the bottom technique may go to -830 GBP, so please have a working betting financial institution with capital of two,000 prepared in case you use it.
Unique Check Bots present information (2023-8-22 information)
These are all 1 GBP stake bets.
10 GBP Stakes Bot Outcomes (2023-8-22 information)
A1 Bot Outcomes – The Staking Machine Evaluation Information of 1,320 bets (all earlier A1 wager information was not retrievable)
B2 Bot Outcomes – The Staking Machine Evaluation Information of 4,525 bets (all B2 wager information was not retrievable)
Bot set to make use of with this TippingSports account
(Outcomes 2023-6-28 to 2023-8-22 screenshot)
Strive my bot set with it. I’m very assured about it. It’s based mostly on over 6,000 bets of historic information from actual bets made with the Bf Bot Supervisor on Betfair, not simply again testing historic information.
Every of the bots is about to 10 GBP degree stakes.
The A1 bot locations a wager on the other worth. So it’ll have many bets unmatched and lapsed, however it’ll have the next ROI, presently 8.5%.
The B2 bot locations a wager on the present worth. So it’ll place all bets. It has extra quantity however a decrease ROI of round 3%.
The B3 bot locations an additional bot in play on the reverse odds +4 ticks if a objective is scored. This may have a lot fewer bets however the next ROI, presently round 15%.
The B4 bot locations an additional bot in play on the present odds if a objective is scored. This may have a lot fewer bets however the next ROI, presently round 36%.
The B2 bot has a drawdown of -84 since Nov 2022. So solely wager 1 level degree stakes and don’t improve stakes till it has doubled the beginning financial institution. For 10 GBP degree stakes it’s utilizing a 1,000 BP financial institution, so if its worse run repeats it might be -840 GBP at that time, however based mostly on the historic information it’s extremely probably it could get better for that on degree stakes. It makes constant cash every month, however in case you don’t just like the big drawdown danger, then cut back the stake dimension for the B2 bot.
Staking Measurement and Financial institution Measurement
My really helpful bot set that I despatched makes use of:
A1 10 GBP
B2 10 GBP
B3 10 GBP
B4 10 GBP
That is risking a 2,000 GBP financial institution. 1,000 for the B2 bot and 1,000 for the A1, B3 and B4 bots. The financial institution may go as little as -84%, however in response to the historic information, on degree stakes, it’s prone to get better even from that. Nevertheless it have to be on degree stakes, not proportion of financial institution stakes.
The following tips value 100 GBP per 30 days, however my referrals on this article listing can get a 70% low cost and check out it for 30 GBP per 30 days. Simply let me know you’re my referral when asking to subscribe. This set wants the Bf Bot Supervisor to run the bots, so that you want a Betfair account, too.
5 Present Betting System Setup Abstract for handbook and automatic betting
Begin with a 1,000 GBP financial institution.
I’m betting 2, 4 or 6 factors per wager relying on if my technique outcomes are underneath or over the unique technique’s long run win price, so that’s 20, 40 or 60 GBP degree stakes per wager.
I ignore the minimal odds.
I ask for the presently out there worth.
I wager on all picks, together with duplicate picks. So if 2 methods decide the identical choice, I’ll wager twice on it. (That is just like the Betamin Builder aggregator outcomes.)
I wager 5 minutes earlier than kick-off.
(For automated betting, use the renamed Funger Overs BfBM to keep away from identify format issues within the software program.)
Additional draw bets on draw picks:
10 GBP on the other odds
10 GBP in-play on the present odds if a objective is scored
10 GBP in-play on the other odds if a objective is scored
6 Automated Betting Bots – My full present Bf Bot Supervisor bot file despatched as .gz
I connect all of the bot units I’m utilizing this month with Betaminic methods and my very own BSG draw system bots.
You’ll be able to view the bot settings I take advantage of and edit it to make use of it as you would like or go away it as it’s and simply swap on the bots you need.
2023-8-22 Draw bots, BetaminicSys, WR7, BSG bots.gz
If you wish to take the simplest automated choice, you may comply with the BetaminicSys account on TippingSports with their Automated Betting Service.
Feedback and New Set of 5Strategies
From suggestions about this article I’ve added one other a brand new bot set. You’ll be able to learn and remark about that right here:
https://www.reddit.com/r/AutomatedBettingBots/feedback/15ymwpw/draw_empate/
Help
When you’ve got questions on any of those companies, or if you would like me to make any demonstration movies of how one can do or use one thing, additionally please let me know.
Better of luck!
Tom
Helpful Hyperlinks:
1 My Betting Recommendation Website: www.bettingsystemsguide.com
2 Betaminic massive information betting methods: http://www.betaminic.com/?ref=TomW (May be automated)
3 Reddit Betaminic Neighborhood: https://www.reddit.com/r/AutomatedBettingBots/
4 Betaminic’s profitable tipping account BetaminicSys on www.tippingsports.com (Can automated with a Betfair account)
5 Betaminic’s profitable tipping account BETAMINIC1 on www.smartbet.io (Can automate with a PS3838 account)
6 My BSG Draw System account bsgDrawSystem on www.tippingsports.com (Can automate with a Betfair account, ask me for my bsgDrawSystem bot set)
7 My BSG Draw System account TomW on www.smartbet.io (Can automate with a PS3838 account)
Professional Betting Instruments
1 Bf Bot Supervisor automated betting software program for Betfair
2 Smartbet.io automated betting software program for PS3838/Pinnacle (+50% first deposit bonus with “TomW” code)
3 The Staking Machine staking evaluation software program
4 Betting Brokers: : AsianConnect and BetInAsia Entry a PS3838 account, on-line sportsbook & change aggregator, and three% fee white-label model of Betfair with no Premium Cost by way of a betting agent. AsianConnect (by way of VPN for UK/AUS residents) or BetInAsia. See my web site for a listing of which web site accepts/restricts which nation. Solely USA, Aruba, Singapore, and The Philippines are restricted by each. So one among them will in all probability be just right for you.
5 VPN companies: TunnelBear provide a free VPN with no time restrict (2GB per 30 days restrict). Paid VPNs can be found with extra bandwidth. Helpful for accessing AsianConnect.
6 VPS: I take advantage of SimplyHosting for my VPS that hosts my Bf Bot Supervisor software program.
7 TippingSports for third occasion verified tipsters that may be simply automated with a Betfair account.
Particular Affords (Deposit Bonuses, Cashback, and so forth.)
1 25% Deposit bonus as much as 500 EUR for brand new AsianConnect signups by way of this hyperlink https://www.asianconnect88.com/promotion/?pk_kwd=vBU3QD4J1R
2 50% Deposit bonus as much as 25 EUR for Smartbet.io, while you make your FIRST deposit, inform them “I would love the TomW 50% deposit bonus.” within the deposit chat tab.
Affiliate Hyperlink Disclaimer: I’ll obtain fee for purchases made by way of my affiliate hyperlinks. I’ve used all these companies myself and I don’t advocate something that I’ve not used myself. I can provide help and reply your questions on these companies due to this expertise. In the event you do resolve to make use of any of those companies, then clicking by way of my hyperlinks is a straightforward strategy to say thanks for me introducing you to it.
